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Psychological Analysis of Fear-Based Healthcare Messaging: Comparing HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Through the Lens of Spiral Dynamics

Dr. Tomás Campbell [1], a member of the BPS Division of Clinical Psychology Faculty for HIV and Sexual Health, article "Towards more inclusive and Empowering Healthcare Campaigns" [2] presents a compelling analysis of the evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging over four decades, tracing a path from fear-based approaches to more empowering, inclusive strategies. This progression reflects significant advances in both medical understanding and psychological approaches to public health communication. 

The SDTEST® survey data on fears provides an excellent opportunity to examine how these evolving messaging strategies align with contemporary fear psychology and value systems as described by Spiral Dynamics theory.


Comparative Analysis of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Fear Prevalence


The SDTEST® survey "Fears" involving 3,679 participants across 105 countries reveals that HIV/AIDS now ranks relatively low at 4%, while COVID-19 ranks even lower at just 2%. Below is a abridged version of the survey results. The full results are available for free in the FAQ section after login or registration.


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Tu je nový pohľad rozhrania na koreláciu v tabuľke podľa úrovní špirálovej dynamiky, kde volatilita, neistota, zložitosť a nejednoznačnosť (V.U.C.A.) sú znázornené prostredníctvom pozitívnych a negatívnych korelačných závislostí medzi reakciami anketu a farbami špirály.
Krajina
Jazyk
-
Mail
Rozvíjať sa
Kritická hodnota korelačného koeficientu
Normálne rozdelenie, od Williama Sealyho Gosset (študent) r = 0.0315
Normálne rozdelenie, od Williama Sealyho Gosset (študent) r = 0.0315
Normálne rozdelenie, Spearman r = 0.0013
DistribúciaNekonečnýNekonečnýNekonečnýNormálnyNormálnyNormálnyNormálnyNormálny
Všetky otázky
Všetky otázky
Môj najväčší strach je
Môj najväčší strach je
Answer 1-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0519
Slabo pozitívne
0.0249
Slabý negatívny
-0.0201
Slabo pozitívne
0.0938
Slabo pozitívne
0.0393
Slabý negatívny
-0.0148
Slabý negatívny
-0.1536
Answer 2-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0160
Slabý negatívny
-0.0089
Slabý negatívny
-0.0381
Slabo pozitívne
0.0645
Slabo pozitívne
0.0505
Slabo pozitívne
0.0138
Slabý negatívny
-0.0948
Answer 3-
Slabý negatívny
-0.0036
Slabý negatívny
-0.0099
Slabý negatívny
-0.0465
Slabý negatívny
-0.0421
Slabo pozitívne
0.0504
Slabo pozitívne
0.0770
Slabý negatívny
-0.0232
Answer 4-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0441
Slabo pozitívne
0.0306
Slabý negatívny
-0.0266
Slabo pozitívne
0.0174
Slabo pozitívne
0.0382
Slabo pozitívne
0.0265
Slabý negatívny
-0.1041
Answer 5-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0220
Slabo pozitívne
0.1235
Slabo pozitívne
0.0108
Slabo pozitívne
0.0747
Slabo pozitívne
0.0006
Slabý negatívny
-0.0155
Slabý negatívny
-0.1747
Answer 6-
Slabý negatívny
-0.0019
Slabo pozitívne
0.0038
Slabý negatívny
-0.0625
Slabý negatívny
-0.0102
Slabo pozitívne
0.0264
Slabo pozitívne
0.0858
Slabý negatívny
-0.0359
Answer 7-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0103
Slabo pozitívne
0.0310
Slabý negatívny
-0.0672
Slabý negatívny
-0.0302
Slabo pozitívne
0.0540
Slabo pozitívne
0.0709
Slabý negatívny
-0.0528
Answer 8-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0651
Slabo pozitívne
0.0685
Slabý negatívny
-0.0275
Slabo pozitívne
0.0124
Slabo pozitívne
0.0401
Slabo pozitívne
0.0177
Slabý negatívny
-0.1337
Answer 9-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0752
Slabo pozitívne
0.1592
Slabo pozitívne
0.0059
Slabo pozitívne
0.0602
Slabý negatívny
-0.0071
Slabý negatívny
-0.0483
Slabý negatívny
-0.1823
Answer 10-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0747
Slabo pozitívne
0.0607
Slabý negatívny
-0.0134
Slabo pozitívne
0.0271
Slabo pozitívne
0.0335
Slabý negatívny
-0.0111
Slabý negatívny
-0.1346
Answer 11-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0632
Slabo pozitívne
0.0502
Slabý negatívny
-0.0089
Slabo pozitívne
0.0089
Slabo pozitívne
0.0283
Slabo pozitívne
0.0252
Slabý negatívny
-0.1282
Answer 12-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0426
Slabo pozitívne
0.0888
Slabý negatívny
-0.0328
Slabo pozitívne
0.0321
Slabo pozitívne
0.0353
Slabo pozitívne
0.0263
Slabý negatívny
-0.1530
Answer 13-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0700
Slabo pozitívne
0.0916
Slabý negatívny
-0.0386
Slabo pozitívne
0.0291
Slabo pozitívne
0.0440
Slabo pozitívne
0.0155
Slabý negatívny
-0.1638
Answer 14-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0811
Slabo pozitívne
0.0861
Slabý negatívny
-0.0041
Slabý negatívny
-0.0124
Slabo pozitívne
0.0081
Slabo pozitívne
0.0148
Slabý negatívny
-0.1207
Answer 15-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0548
Slabo pozitívne
0.1223
Slabý negatívny
-0.0347
Slabo pozitívne
0.0118
Slabý negatívny
-0.0133
Slabo pozitívne
0.0266
Slabý negatívny
-0.1157
Answer 16-
Slabo pozitívne
0.0702
Slabo pozitívne
0.0202
Slabý negatívny
-0.0390
Slabý negatívny
-0.0397
Slabo pozitívne
0.0747
Slabo pozitívne
0.0185
Slabý negatívny
-0.0767


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This modest fear prevalence contrasts sharply with the historical positioning of HIV/AIDS as a primary existential threat during the 1980s-90s. As the article aptly notes, early HIV/AIDS campaigns relied heavily on fear-based messaging, leveraging protection-motivation theory to drive behavioral change through graphic depictions of mortality and disease. The current survey results suggest these diseases have been partially normalized in the public consciousness, supporting the article's observation that medical advancements have transformed HIV from a death sentence to a manageable chronic condition.


When examining broader fear contexts, it's noteworthy that personal concerns about "illness of relatives and children" (11%) and general "illness" (8%) outrank specific disease fears like HIV/AIDS or COVID-19. This pattern indicates that abstract illness threats generate more anxiety than particular diseases that have been subject to extensive public education campaigns. This finding aligns with the article's discussion of how healthcare messaging has evolved toward destigmatization and normalization, particularly for HIV/AIDS.


Spiral Dynamics Correlations: Understanding Value Systems and Fear Responses


The correlation data between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provides fascinating insights into how different value systems engage with health threats. HIV/AIDS shows a positive correlation (0.0662) with Orange-level thinking, which represents achievement-oriented, strategic value systems. This alignment makes psychological sense, as Orange thinking prioritizes personal agency and risk management. Individuals operating from this value system may respond more actively to diseases perceived as consequences of personal behavior choices.


Conversely, HIV/AIDS fears correlate negatively with Yellow (-0.0516) and more strongly with Turquoise (-0.1776) value systems. These second-tier thinking systems in Spiral Dynamics represent more complex, integrative worldviews that may contextualize disease within a broader systemic understanding. The stronger negative correlation with Turquoise thinking is particularly notable, as this holistic perspective tends to integrate mortality and vulnerability into a comprehensive worldview, potentially reducing fear responses to specific conditions.


For COVID-19, the correlation pattern differs significantly. The positive correlation with Green thinking (0.0637) suggests that communitarian, egalitarian value systems may experience heightened concern about highly communicable diseases that threaten community well-being. This aligns with the article's discussion of how modern healthcare campaigns increasingly emphasize collective responsibility and community protection. The negative correlations with Blue (-0.0342), Orange (-0.0409), and Turquoise (-0.0748) value systems suggest varied psychological responses across the spiral.


Implications for Evolving Healthcare Messaging


The article chronicles a shift from fear-based campaigns toward empowerment and behavioral strategies, noting how psychological frameworks like self-efficacy theory and social norm theory have informed this evolution. The SDTEST® data supports the efficacy of this shift by demonstrating relatively low fear ratings for HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigma. This suggests that destigmatizing, empowering messaging approaches may have successfully normalized the condition in public consciousness.


The varying correlations between fears and Spiral Dynamics stages also validate the article's emphasis on intersectionality and tailored messaging. Different value systems appear to process disease threats through distinct psychological frameworks, which has significant implications for public health communication. The article notes that "campaigns are now much more carefully designed to address diverse populations," which aligns with the need to consider value system diversity in designing effective interventions.


Advancing Psychologically Informed Healthcare Communications


The relatively weak correlation between disease fears and specific Spiral Dynamics stages (with the critical value of the correlation coefficient for a normal distribution, by William Sealy Gosset (Student) r = 0.0323) suggests that fears of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 transcend value systems but manifest differently within them. This finding supports the article's conclusion that messaging must "remain effective, compassionate, and mindful of nuance." The positive correlation between HIV/AIDS fears and Orange thinking, contrasted with COVID-19's positive correlation with Green thinking, demonstrates how different diseases activate different value concerns.


The article's discussion of digital and social media platforms as vectors for modern healthcare messaging presents opportunities for even more targeted value-specific communications. Understanding the psychological frameworks through which different Spiral Dynamics stages process health information could enable micro-targeted campaigns that resonate more effectively with diverse audiences. For instance, messaging aimed at Orange-dominant thinkers might emphasize personal agency and achievement in health management, while Green-focused messaging might highlight community protection and collective responsibility.


Conclusion


The evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging described in the article reflects a sophisticated understanding of psychological principles, moving from protection-motivation theory toward self-efficacy and social norm approaches. The SDTEST® data validates this progression by showing relatively modest contemporary fear responses to HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigmatization. The correlation patterns between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provide valuable insights for further refining healthcare communications to resonate with different value systems.


The comparative data between HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 fears, particularly their different correlation patterns with Spiral Dynamics stages, suggests that disease characteristics interact with value systems to produce distinct psychological responses. As the article argues, effective healthcare campaigns must continue to evolve based on evidence rather than prejudice. The SDTEST® data offers this evidence, demonstrating how fears of specific conditions correlate with different psychological frameworks and value systems.


This integration of fear psychology, mathematical correlation, and Spiral Dynamics theory provides a robust foundation for developing increasingly sophisticated, psychologically informed healthcare messaging strategies that can effectively engage diverse populations across the spiral of human development.



Sources

[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-campbell-40202785/
[2] https://www.bps.org.uk/blog/towards-more-inclusive-and-empowering-healthcare-campaigns


2025.02.28
FearpersonqualitiesprojectorganizationalstructureRACIresponsibilitymatrixCritical ChainProject Managementfocus factorJiraempathyleadersbossGermanyChinaPolicyUkraineRussiawarvolatilityuncertaintycomplexityambiguityVUCArelocatejobproblemcountryreasongive upobjectivekeyresultmathematicalpsychologyMBTIHR metricsstandardDEIcorrelationriskscoringmodelGame TheoryPrisoner's Dilemma
Valerii Kosenko
Vlastník produktu SaaS SDTEST®

Valerii získal kvalifikáciu sociálneho pedagóga-psychológa v roku 1993 a odvtedy svoje znalosti uplatňuje v projektovom manažmente.
Valerii získal magisterský titul a kvalifikáciu projektového a programového manažéra v roku 2013. Počas magisterského štúdia sa zoznámil s Plánom projektu (GPM Deutsche Gesellschaft für Projektmanagement e. V.) a Špirálovou dynamikou.
Valerii je autorom skúmania neistoty V.U.C.A. koncept využívajúci špirálovú dynamiku a matematickú štatistiku v psychológii a 38 medzinárodných prieskumov verejnej mienky.
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Ahoj! Dovoľte mi, aby som sa vás opýtal, už ste oboznámení s dynamikou špirály?