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Psychological Analysis of Fear-Based Healthcare Messaging: Comparing HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Through the Lens of Spiral Dynamics

Dr. Tomás Campbell [1], a member of the BPS Division of Clinical Psychology Faculty for HIV and Sexual Health, article "Towards more inclusive and Empowering Healthcare Campaigns" [2] presents a compelling analysis of the evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging over four decades, tracing a path from fear-based approaches to more empowering, inclusive strategies. This progression reflects significant advances in both medical understanding and psychological approaches to public health communication. 

The SDTEST® survey data on fears provides an excellent opportunity to examine how these evolving messaging strategies align with contemporary fear psychology and value systems as described by Spiral Dynamics theory.


Comparative Analysis of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Fear Prevalence


The SDTEST® survey "Fears" involving 3,679 participants across 105 countries reveals that HIV/AIDS now ranks relatively low at 4%, while COVID-19 ranks even lower at just 2%. Below is a abridged version of the survey results. The full results are available for free in the FAQ section after login or registration.


Peurs

GraphiquesCorrélation
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Voici la relation entre les réponses du sondage et les couleurs de test de dynamique spirale
VUCA
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Voici une nouvelle vision d'interface de la corrélation dans un tableau par des niveaux de dynamique spirale où la volatilité, l'incertitude, la complexité et l'ambiguïté (V.U.C.A.) sont montrées par des dépendances de corrélation positives et négatives entre les réponses du sondage et les couleurs de dynamique spirale
Pays
La langue
-
Mail
Recalculer
La valeur critique du coefficient de corrélation
Distribution normale, par William Sealy Gosset (étudiant) r = 0.0315
Distribution normale, par William Sealy Gosset (étudiant) r = 0.0315
Distribution non normale, par Spearman r = 0.0013
DistributionNon
normal
Non
normal
Non
normal
NormalNormalNormalNormalNormal
Toutes les questions
Toutes les questions
Ma plus grande peur est
Ma plus grande peur est
Answer 1-
Positif faible
0.0519
Positif faible
0.0249
Négatif faible
-0.0201
Positif faible
0.0938
Positif faible
0.0393
Négatif faible
-0.0148
Négatif faible
-0.1536
Answer 2-
Positif faible
0.0160
Négatif faible
-0.0089
Négatif faible
-0.0381
Positif faible
0.0645
Positif faible
0.0505
Positif faible
0.0138
Négatif faible
-0.0948
Answer 3-
Négatif faible
-0.0036
Négatif faible
-0.0099
Négatif faible
-0.0465
Négatif faible
-0.0421
Positif faible
0.0504
Positif faible
0.0770
Négatif faible
-0.0232
Answer 4-
Positif faible
0.0441
Positif faible
0.0306
Négatif faible
-0.0266
Positif faible
0.0174
Positif faible
0.0382
Positif faible
0.0265
Négatif faible
-0.1041
Answer 5-
Positif faible
0.0220
Positif faible
0.1235
Positif faible
0.0108
Positif faible
0.0747
Positif faible
0.0006
Négatif faible
-0.0155
Négatif faible
-0.1747
Answer 6-
Négatif faible
-0.0019
Positif faible
0.0038
Négatif faible
-0.0625
Négatif faible
-0.0102
Positif faible
0.0264
Positif faible
0.0858
Négatif faible
-0.0359
Answer 7-
Positif faible
0.0103
Positif faible
0.0310
Négatif faible
-0.0672
Négatif faible
-0.0302
Positif faible
0.0540
Positif faible
0.0709
Négatif faible
-0.0528
Answer 8-
Positif faible
0.0651
Positif faible
0.0685
Négatif faible
-0.0275
Positif faible
0.0124
Positif faible
0.0401
Positif faible
0.0177
Négatif faible
-0.1337
Answer 9-
Positif faible
0.0752
Positif faible
0.1592
Positif faible
0.0059
Positif faible
0.0602
Négatif faible
-0.0071
Négatif faible
-0.0483
Négatif faible
-0.1823
Answer 10-
Positif faible
0.0747
Positif faible
0.0607
Négatif faible
-0.0134
Positif faible
0.0271
Positif faible
0.0335
Négatif faible
-0.0111
Négatif faible
-0.1346
Answer 11-
Positif faible
0.0632
Positif faible
0.0502
Négatif faible
-0.0089
Positif faible
0.0089
Positif faible
0.0283
Positif faible
0.0252
Négatif faible
-0.1282
Answer 12-
Positif faible
0.0426
Positif faible
0.0888
Négatif faible
-0.0328
Positif faible
0.0321
Positif faible
0.0353
Positif faible
0.0263
Négatif faible
-0.1530
Answer 13-
Positif faible
0.0700
Positif faible
0.0916
Négatif faible
-0.0386
Positif faible
0.0291
Positif faible
0.0440
Positif faible
0.0155
Négatif faible
-0.1638
Answer 14-
Positif faible
0.0811
Positif faible
0.0861
Négatif faible
-0.0041
Négatif faible
-0.0124
Positif faible
0.0081
Positif faible
0.0148
Négatif faible
-0.1207
Answer 15-
Positif faible
0.0548
Positif faible
0.1223
Négatif faible
-0.0347
Positif faible
0.0118
Négatif faible
-0.0133
Positif faible
0.0266
Négatif faible
-0.1157
Answer 16-
Positif faible
0.0702
Positif faible
0.0202
Négatif faible
-0.0390
Négatif faible
-0.0397
Positif faible
0.0747
Positif faible
0.0185
Négatif faible
-0.0767


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This modest fear prevalence contrasts sharply with the historical positioning of HIV/AIDS as a primary existential threat during the 1980s-90s. As the article aptly notes, early HIV/AIDS campaigns relied heavily on fear-based messaging, leveraging protection-motivation theory to drive behavioral change through graphic depictions of mortality and disease. The current survey results suggest these diseases have been partially normalized in the public consciousness, supporting the article's observation that medical advancements have transformed HIV from a death sentence to a manageable chronic condition.


When examining broader fear contexts, it's noteworthy that personal concerns about "illness of relatives and children" (11%) and general "illness" (8%) outrank specific disease fears like HIV/AIDS or COVID-19. This pattern indicates that abstract illness threats generate more anxiety than particular diseases that have been subject to extensive public education campaigns. This finding aligns with the article's discussion of how healthcare messaging has evolved toward destigmatization and normalization, particularly for HIV/AIDS.


Spiral Dynamics Correlations: Understanding Value Systems and Fear Responses


The correlation data between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provides fascinating insights into how different value systems engage with health threats. HIV/AIDS shows a positive correlation (0.0662) with Orange-level thinking, which represents achievement-oriented, strategic value systems. This alignment makes psychological sense, as Orange thinking prioritizes personal agency and risk management. Individuals operating from this value system may respond more actively to diseases perceived as consequences of personal behavior choices.


Conversely, HIV/AIDS fears correlate negatively with Yellow (-0.0516) and more strongly with Turquoise (-0.1776) value systems. These second-tier thinking systems in Spiral Dynamics represent more complex, integrative worldviews that may contextualize disease within a broader systemic understanding. The stronger negative correlation with Turquoise thinking is particularly notable, as this holistic perspective tends to integrate mortality and vulnerability into a comprehensive worldview, potentially reducing fear responses to specific conditions.


For COVID-19, the correlation pattern differs significantly. The positive correlation with Green thinking (0.0637) suggests that communitarian, egalitarian value systems may experience heightened concern about highly communicable diseases that threaten community well-being. This aligns with the article's discussion of how modern healthcare campaigns increasingly emphasize collective responsibility and community protection. The negative correlations with Blue (-0.0342), Orange (-0.0409), and Turquoise (-0.0748) value systems suggest varied psychological responses across the spiral.


Implications for Evolving Healthcare Messaging


The article chronicles a shift from fear-based campaigns toward empowerment and behavioral strategies, noting how psychological frameworks like self-efficacy theory and social norm theory have informed this evolution. The SDTEST® data supports the efficacy of this shift by demonstrating relatively low fear ratings for HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigma. This suggests that destigmatizing, empowering messaging approaches may have successfully normalized the condition in public consciousness.


The varying correlations between fears and Spiral Dynamics stages also validate the article's emphasis on intersectionality and tailored messaging. Different value systems appear to process disease threats through distinct psychological frameworks, which has significant implications for public health communication. The article notes that "campaigns are now much more carefully designed to address diverse populations," which aligns with the need to consider value system diversity in designing effective interventions.


Advancing Psychologically Informed Healthcare Communications


The relatively weak correlation between disease fears and specific Spiral Dynamics stages (with the critical value of the correlation coefficient for a normal distribution, by William Sealy Gosset (Student) r = 0.0323) suggests that fears of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 transcend value systems but manifest differently within them. This finding supports the article's conclusion that messaging must "remain effective, compassionate, and mindful of nuance." The positive correlation between HIV/AIDS fears and Orange thinking, contrasted with COVID-19's positive correlation with Green thinking, demonstrates how different diseases activate different value concerns.


The article's discussion of digital and social media platforms as vectors for modern healthcare messaging presents opportunities for even more targeted value-specific communications. Understanding the psychological frameworks through which different Spiral Dynamics stages process health information could enable micro-targeted campaigns that resonate more effectively with diverse audiences. For instance, messaging aimed at Orange-dominant thinkers might emphasize personal agency and achievement in health management, while Green-focused messaging might highlight community protection and collective responsibility.


Conclusion


The evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging described in the article reflects a sophisticated understanding of psychological principles, moving from protection-motivation theory toward self-efficacy and social norm approaches. The SDTEST® data validates this progression by showing relatively modest contemporary fear responses to HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigmatization. The correlation patterns between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provide valuable insights for further refining healthcare communications to resonate with different value systems.


The comparative data between HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 fears, particularly their different correlation patterns with Spiral Dynamics stages, suggests that disease characteristics interact with value systems to produce distinct psychological responses. As the article argues, effective healthcare campaigns must continue to evolve based on evidence rather than prejudice. The SDTEST® data offers this evidence, demonstrating how fears of specific conditions correlate with different psychological frameworks and value systems.


This integration of fear psychology, mathematical correlation, and Spiral Dynamics theory provides a robust foundation for developing increasingly sophisticated, psychologically informed healthcare messaging strategies that can effectively engage diverse populations across the spiral of human development.



Sources

[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-campbell-40202785/
[2] https://www.bps.org.uk/blog/towards-more-inclusive-and-empowering-healthcare-campaigns


2025.02.28
FearpersonqualitiesprojectorganizationalstructureRACIresponsibilitymatrixCritical ChainProject Managementfocus factorJiraempathyleadersbossGermanyChinaPolicyUkraineRussiawarvolatilityuncertaintycomplexityambiguityVUCArelocatejobproblemcountryreasongive upobjectivekeyresultmathematicalpsychologyMBTIHR metricsstandardDEIcorrelationriskscoringmodelGame TheoryPrisoner's Dilemma
Valerii Kosenko
Product Owner SaaS SDTEST®

Valerii a obtenu son diplôme de pédagogue social-psychologue en 1993 et ​​a depuis appliqué ses connaissances à la gestion de projets.
Valerii a obtenu un master et le diplôme de chef de projet et de programme en 2013. Au cours de son programme de master, il s'est familiarisé avec Project Roadmap (GPM Deutsche Gesellschaft für Projektmanagement e. V.) et Spiral Dynamics.
Valerii est l'auteur de l'exploration de l'incertitude du V.U.C.A. concept utilisant la dynamique spirale et les statistiques mathématiques en psychologie, et 38 sondages internationaux.
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Bonjour à tous! Permettez-moi de vous demander, connaissez-vous déjà la dynamique en spirale?